Results 61 to 90 of 603
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2024-02-21, 10:05 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jan 2009
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
I still don't like the feel of the Kraken wagon. I can see it being a valid one, but something about the steam of it, with so little opposition besides the AV wagon... feels off.
Thoughts/analysis below (and honestly, rereading I do get folk voting Kraken), but I'll leave my vote on AV for now.
Oddly, this post almost makes me okay with the Kraken wagon. I'll assume it's in response to the one post where I did actual analysis.
It's not that he's accusing me. It's that, if he's accusing me of pocketing him, that doesn't seem right; while I wasn't liking the wagon on Kraken, I also suspected him and Illven of being scumbuddies in the same post.
But maybe I'm misunderstanding.
Not liking this. Seems like casting shade on Merel for an enthusiastic post.
While I guess Merel did post some real life reasons she doesn't have any actual analysis to add, and that's what she did last game while truly busy/sick and being a wolf, this feels like a wolf!Illven trying to cast shade to start a wagon on someone.
But Illven didn't move her vote from Kraken to Merel.
If Illven is a wolf and Kraken town and Merel town, seems an odd post to make. No value; some risk.
If Illven is a wolf and Kraken wolf and Merel town, seems odd didn't move her vote when she has a justified reason to.
If Illven is a wolf and Kraken town and Merel wolf, makes sense as distancing.
Or it's town!Illven commmenting and I'm getting bad vibes or misunderstanding; such has happened in games before.
I think a townread for this overall. I could definitely see a wolf or neutral saying this, but you'd gotta be a bold wolf to do this lie. But it's, like, such great cover for a wolf not wanting to get scried/tracked. (Or "watched"; i mix up "track" and "watch".)
So that's the WIFOM spiral.
If you are still the lead wagon, please give your theory close to Day's end.
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2024-02-21, 10:24 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Dec 2013
- Location
- Canada
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
This is the pocketing attempt I referenced. You talking about the possible wolf relationship isn't relevant as much as you saying you didn't like the wagon.
Not that it is necessarily you being a wolf at all - it's just something I am noting for posterity.
I'm afraid I promised flat I wouldn't.
- - - Updated - - -
I will point out that for a game with nineteen players, we're fixating quite a bit on five of them.Last edited by Let'sGetKraken; 2024-02-21 at 10:26 AM.
Loser of Total War: Rise of Kingdoms
as
The Astral Collective
Winner of Total War: Hanrui 3
as
The Four Courts of Hanrui/The Equinox League
Plausible Victor of Total War: Pricipia
as
The Chrysaorian Hegemony
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2024-02-21, 10:28 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Apr 2011
- Location
- Australia
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
"Trust bladescape, Shadow of Doubt,"
My almighty and all knowing extended Signature lies HERE! Now includes awesome quotes!
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2024-02-21, 10:35 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jan 2009
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
That sounds incredibly interesting.
I will point out that for a game with nineteen players, we're fixating quite a bit on five of them.
Yet a good point. The AV wagon isn't doing anything.
::looks over who has at least 1 vote already::
Persolus, don't you usually bet on staying past D1 by now?Last edited by JeenLeen; 2024-02-21 at 04:42 PM.
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2024-02-21, 10:47 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Dec 2013
- Location
- Canada
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
Loser of Total War: Rise of Kingdoms
as
The Astral Collective
Winner of Total War: Hanrui 3
as
The Four Courts of Hanrui/The Equinox League
Plausible Victor of Total War: Pricipia
as
The Chrysaorian Hegemony
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2024-02-21, 10:49 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Dec 2019
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
Sure, why not, deal me into the next hand!
Was originally mildly paranoid about Kraken wagon jumping to five votes, except then I realised it's just bladescape being his usual self and Murska probably trying something similar. So given I continue to lack actual reads I will leave my vote on Kraken and see what happens.
Also I have realised my brain is ceasing to function and a mental note I made earlier is invalid due to my failure to consider the idea that people might lie in this game. Probably a sign I should just focus on meeting my deadlines and sleeping.
- - - Updated - - -
Do you have reason to suspect any of those first three, or is it just "we should poke people who haven't done much"?
For clarity, can you state who the five players who are being largely focused on are?I'm writing stuff, come and read it!
Werewolf games won: 28
Werewolf games lost: 19
Games as town: 29.5
Games as neutral: 6.5
Games as wolf: 11
Games narrated: 2
Deaths: 31
Extended Signature
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2024-02-21, 10:53 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Dec 2008
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
So my thoughts are less the lack of actual analysis and more the contrast between last game where Merel was a wolf and was pretty much death warmed over, and right now where she's a bundle of energy.
So my theories are.
1) Merel is town/neutral and just has more energy then last game.
2) Merel is a wolf, and now that they are actually functioning they are overcompensating since they got suss'ed last time for being death warmed over.
3) They have an awesome power.Avatar by Honest Tiefling
Won as Good Mayans on a science victory GMR 4. Won as Sweden on a science victory GMR 7. Won as Desert England on a concession victory GMR 8 Lost as Poland in GMR 3. Lost as Japan in GMR 5, Surrendered as Korea in GMR 10. Surrendered as Bad Maya in GMR 11, Lost as Shoshone in GMR 13.
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2024-02-21, 10:58 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Dec 2013
- Location
- Canada
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
Loser of Total War: Rise of Kingdoms
as
The Astral Collective
Winner of Total War: Hanrui 3
as
The Four Courts of Hanrui/The Equinox League
Plausible Victor of Total War: Pricipia
as
The Chrysaorian Hegemony
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2024-02-21, 11:01 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Apr 2011
- Location
- Australia
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
"Trust bladescape, Shadow of Doubt,"
My almighty and all knowing extended Signature lies HERE! Now includes awesome quotes!
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2024-02-21, 11:07 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Dec 2013
- Location
- Canada
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
Loser of Total War: Rise of Kingdoms
as
The Astral Collective
Winner of Total War: Hanrui 3
as
The Four Courts of Hanrui/The Equinox League
Plausible Victor of Total War: Pricipia
as
The Chrysaorian Hegemony
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2024-02-21, 11:08 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Apr 2011
- Location
- Australia
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
"Trust bladescape, Shadow of Doubt,"
My almighty and all knowing extended Signature lies HERE! Now includes awesome quotes!
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2024-02-21, 11:19 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jan 2017
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
I've heard a lot of different stories about couriers. Seems all the information conflicts. Not really sure what to make of 'em, but not really sure if they're relevant. Rumors say they're a free agent and no one really knows where they'll land. Haven't met them myself, so nothing to really back that up. You think this person is still around?
"Well, good mornin' sunshine. I'll give you your space if that's what you're looking for. But do you think that poor feller who got dragged away is still involved? Seemed a bit final to me."
Out of character, do you think voting flat is still relevant given this post?
Vote: Illven
"As much as I like this this little turtle lookin' creature... care to comment on the events so far?" She nods to Athedia. "As much as I appreciate your dealing cards, I've got you in my sights as well. What are you thinking 'bout our situation? I see your thoughts on Merel, but how about anyone else?"
Yeah, I'm voting Illven since she has posts about 1) Squirtle and 2) Merel and that's it. The second post about Merel has substance and was made while I was writing this, but still want more. Same for Athedia - the game is fun but gonna be looking for more going forward.
Also, it seems like we have 2 or 3 people without posts still? it's a longer Day so it's not too much of a problem, but I was surprised to see 4 votes not out.
Votes
Kraken (4): Snowblaze, Illven, bladescape, Murska
Bat (1): Book
Athedia (1): AV
AV (3): BatCatHat, Athedia, Lentrax
Snowblaze (1): Kracken
Persolus (2): Cazero, JeenLeen
flat_footed (1): corncobweb
Illven (1): Cape
No Vote: MerelBlackbird, Persolus, Cuthalion, LadySerpentineLast edited by CaoimhinTheCape; 2024-02-21 at 12:53 PM.
Avatar by AstralSeal
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2024-02-21, 11:20 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Apr 2011
- Location
- Keystone of the USA
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
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2024-02-21, 11:31 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Dec 2013
- Location
- Canada
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
Loser of Total War: Rise of Kingdoms
as
The Astral Collective
Winner of Total War: Hanrui 3
as
The Four Courts of Hanrui/The Equinox League
Plausible Victor of Total War: Pricipia
as
The Chrysaorian Hegemony
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2024-02-21, 11:36 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Apr 2011
- Location
- Keystone of the USA
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
Athedia smiled thinly, tidying some of the caps away and organizing her stacks of chips. "Just keeping an eye on the gathered guests miss. We don't want any cheats in this casino, though I will say we aren't going to bust you for counting cards. I run a fair game. Newer folks tend to have two sorts of reactions, far as I see it."
She gestured over to Lentrax, producing a chip as she did so and rolling it between her fingers. "Some get right into the action, at least making a try. But other new faces... they stay more silent.
I wouldn't read to much into them yet, the casino can feel overwhelming for the freshly initiated." She set the chip down with a loud clunk her blank face poker still.
"I am simply observing others at the moment, watching the tables they frequent, the people who frequent them." She dropped her voice, leaning in to speak in a conspiratorially close tone. "I fear that our blinding friend may have much to say of little substance, but with little information there is little I can say. Let us watch some more and see?" She straightened up, the placid small smile of welcome returning to her face. "As for our Turtle inclined friend, it is a strange code they use but I do not read to much into it. There have been odder folk to grace my table before."
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2024-02-21, 11:48 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Apr 2011
- Location
- Australia
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
Until I see a daykill on someone that isn't the narrator, I don't think it's really important enough to talk about.
Any bastard mechanics like that will be too vague for D1 to really be able to pin it down, and focusing on it is a great distraction from actual poking people, because the wolves care just as much about it being solvable, and therefore they actually look like they are solving the bastard mechanic. Because they aren't faking anything.
#MakeWolvesFakeAgain"Trust bladescape, Shadow of Doubt,"
My almighty and all knowing extended Signature lies HERE! Now includes awesome quotes!
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2024-02-21, 12:04 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Dec 2013
- Location
- Canada
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
Loser of Total War: Rise of Kingdoms
as
The Astral Collective
Winner of Total War: Hanrui 3
as
The Four Courts of Hanrui/The Equinox League
Plausible Victor of Total War: Pricipia
as
The Chrysaorian Hegemony
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2024-02-21, 12:30 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jul 2007
- Location
- Whose eye is that eye?
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
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2024-02-21, 12:32 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jul 2012
- Location
- In the Final Frontier
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
Co-Founder of LUTAS.
For all you lesser superheroes out there.
Custom STO avatar by Durkoala.
A novella about a wizard and a rock star, cross-dimensional travel, and healing wounds neither knew were there.
Spoiler: Online stuffsLentrax has a Deviantart now, check it out!
Streaming Monday, Wednesday, and Friday at 11CST on Twitch.
Follow me on Twitter!
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2024-02-21, 12:43 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Dec 2013
- Location
- Canada
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
Loser of Total War: Rise of Kingdoms
as
The Astral Collective
Winner of Total War: Hanrui 3
as
The Four Courts of Hanrui/The Equinox League
Plausible Victor of Total War: Pricipia
as
The Chrysaorian Hegemony
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2024-02-21, 12:46 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jul 2007
- Location
- Whose eye is that eye?
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
Yeah, sure, but why them specifically? I mean, one vote isn't much of a threat, so you need to convince at least a couple others to join in.
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2024-02-21, 12:53 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jan 2017
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
Well, now it's 2 votes.
VoteCazadorCazero
Votes
Kraken (4): Snowblaze, Illven, bladescape, Murska
Bat (1): Book
Athedia (1): AV
AV (3): BatCatHat, Athedia, Lentrax
Snowblaze (1): Kracken
Persolus (2): Cazero, JeenLeen
flat_footed (1): corncobweb
Cazero (2): Kracken, Cape
No Vote: MerelBlackbird, Persolus, Cuthalion, LadySerpentineLast edited by CaoimhinTheCape; 2024-02-22 at 01:09 PM.
Avatar by AstralSeal
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2024-02-21, 01:00 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jul 2007
- Location
- Whose eye is that eye?
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
I guess. Kraken's doing some kind of solving at least, and nobody pushed AV to save him earlier, so let's put pressure then. But I'd rather we picked targets with a bit more reasoning - hypocritical of me, but I truly don't have the time to go in-depth today.
Cazero.
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2024-02-21, 01:06 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Apr 2011
- Location
- Keystone of the USA
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
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2024-02-21, 01:38 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jul 2007
- Location
- Whose eye is that eye?
- Gender
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2024-02-21, 02:02 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Apr 2011
- Location
- Keystone of the USA
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
"He who stares to closely at his own cards, misses the ones on the table."
Athedia spoke gently but pointedly, returning her attention to the assembled players.
"Hand is started."
She dealt the cards out one by one starting with AvatarVecna around the table until she dealt one to Lentrax and then to herself. She repeated this one more time, keeping her last card facedown.
🃚🃏
Spoiler: AvatarVecna🂣🃕
Spoiler: Corncobweb🃆🃎
Spoiler: Snowblaze🂦🂹
Spoiler: Lentrax🃓🃍
As the dealer gave the players a moment to plan their moves, she checked the face down card and then flipped it over.
🃚🂱
"Dealer Blackjack, my apologies." Her hands did not echo the sincerity in her voice as she schooled up the caps to her side of the table.
She put her hand on the deck she had been dealing from, ready to start another go but waiting to see if any of the four left the table.
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2024-02-21, 02:08 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jul 2007
- Location
- Whose eye is that eye?
- Gender
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2024-02-21, 04:12 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jan 2009
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
Seeing one of the players confidently playing Pokemon at the Blackjack table, Jeen walks another to another table. With utter lack of subtly, he lays down a card from his pocket facedown on the table. "I play a trap card facedown." The other patrons and the dealer look annoyed and start calling for security.
Any reason y'all went after Cazero instead of Persolus?
Not that I have reason to suspect one over the other, but I find it curious the wagon grew on a new person (Cazero) rather than someone already with a vote (like Persolus).
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2024-02-21, 04:22 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Apr 2011
- Location
- Keystone of the USA
- Gender
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2024-02-21, 04:34 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Dec 2008
- Gender
Re: WW/Mafia Fallout 3: Forecast - Rapidly Changing Conditions
Avatar by Honest Tiefling
Won as Good Mayans on a science victory GMR 4. Won as Sweden on a science victory GMR 7. Won as Desert England on a concession victory GMR 8 Lost as Poland in GMR 3. Lost as Japan in GMR 5, Surrendered as Korea in GMR 10. Surrendered as Bad Maya in GMR 11, Lost as Shoshone in GMR 13.