Quote Originally Posted by TheSummoner View Post
Only if they find out it was us. You also seem to be assuming that Sforza dying means Carraciolo becomes undisputed ruler of everything Sforza ruled. There's no guarantee it'd work like that. For a historical example, when Alexander the Great died, his generals carved up the land he had conquered and split it among themselves.
Carraciolo would be at the gates of Savonne before Valdes even learned of Sforza's death. And once he holds Savonne, he holds the Reaches, because the only other seasoned soldiers who excel in a pitched battle are the handful of Magrittan swordsmen who survived Arrow Heap.